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Will Apple release custom AI chip in 2026?

Apple developing in-house AI silicon to compete with NVIDIA. M-series chips impressive but specialized AI accelerator rumored. On-device AI processing focus.

Will Apple release custom AI chip in 2026?

YES 56% NO 43%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Apple release custom AI chip in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Apple release custom AI chip in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 17 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 56% YES
Yes 56%
No 43%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 56%
No 43%

Market Stats

24h Volume $0.0K
Total Volume $478.0K
Traders 0
Category Technology
Resolves 2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST

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