Context & Analysis
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Apple Car project rumored for years. Reports of cancellation then revival. If anyone can disrupt auto industry it's Apple. Massive speculation.
(Hypothetical) Will Apple announce electric car in 2026?
YES 24%
NO 76%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
(Hypothetical) Apple announce electric car in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
(Hypothetical) Apple announce electric car in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
24% YES
Yes 24%
No 76%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
24%
No
76%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$723.0K
Traders
0
Category
Technology
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
