Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Relations improving after years of trade restrictions. Wine, barley, and other exports gradually being unblocked. Full normalization would be major economic boost.
Will Australia-China trade fully normalize in 2026?
YES 52%
NO 48%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Australia-China trade fully normalize in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Australia-China trade fully normalize in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
52% YES
Yes 52%
No 48%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
52%
No
48%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$389.0K
Traders
0
Category
Politics
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
