Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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RBA holding rates high to combat inflation. Housing market cooling but labor market still tight. Market pricing in potential cuts if inflation moderates.
Will Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates by 0.5%+ in 2026?
YES 56%
NO 43%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates by 0.5%+ in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates by 0.5%+ in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 16
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
56% YES
Yes 56%
No 43%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
56%
No
43%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$456.0K
Traders
0
Category
Economics
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
