Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
Article content will be fetched shortly. Please refresh the page.
Historic AUKUS deal moving forward. Nuclear submarine program facing technical and political challenges. Final design approval crucial milestone.
Will Australia finalize AUKUS submarine design by end 2026?
YES 64%
NO 36%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Australia finalize AUKUS submarine design by end 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Australia finalize AUKUS submarine design by end 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
64% YES
Yes 64%
No 36%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
64%
No
36%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$334.0K
Traders
0
Category
World
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
