Context & Analysis
Source:
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After Voice referendum failed, government seeking other paths for Indigenous representation. Treaty discussions ongoing in several states. National framework uncertain.
Will Australia implement alternative Indigenous representation reforms in 2026?
YES 41%
NO 59%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Australia implement alternative Indigenous representation reforms in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Australia implement alternative Indigenous representation reforms in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
41% YES
Yes 41%
No 59%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
41%
No
59%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$312.0K
Traders
0
Category
Politics
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
