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Will Ethereum spot ETF launch in the US in 2026?

After Bitcoin ETF success, Ethereum ETF applications pending SEC approval. Regulatory clarity improving. Multiple issuers waiting for green light.

Will Ethereum spot ETF launch in the US in 2026?

YES 74% NO 26%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Ethereum spot ETF launch in the US in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Ethereum spot ETF launch in the US in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 16 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 74% YES
Yes 74%
No 26%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 74%
No 26%

Market Stats

24h Volume $0.0K
Total Volume $892.0K
Traders 0
Category Crypto
Resolves 2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST

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