Context & Analysis
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After Bitcoin ETF success, Ethereum ETF applications pending SEC approval. Regulatory clarity improving. Multiple issuers waiting for green light.
Will Ethereum spot ETF launch in the US in 2026?
YES 74%
NO 26%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Ethereum spot ETF launch in the US in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Ethereum spot ETF launch in the US in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 16
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
74% YES
Yes 74%
No 26%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
74%
No
26%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$892.0K
Traders
0
Category
Crypto
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
