Context & Analysis
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Israel faces another crucial election amid ongoing political turmoil. Netanyahu's coalition stability remains uncertain. Market resolves based on who forms government after election.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister after 2026 election?
YES 54%
NO 46%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: November 15, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister after 2026 election on or before November 15, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister after 2026 election does not occur by November 15, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
54% YES
Yes 54%
No 46%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
54%
No
46%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$487.0K
Traders
0
Category
Politics
Resolves
2026-11-15 11:59 PM EST
