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Will Israel-Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2026?

Diplomatic efforts continue toward a historic normalization agreement. US mediation ongoing. Major geopolitical implications for the Middle East region.

Will Israel-Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2026?

YES 34% NO 65%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Israel-Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Israel-Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 17 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 34% YES
Yes 34%
No 65%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 34%
No 65%

Market Stats

24h Volume $0.0K
Total Volume $567.0K
Traders 0
Category Politics
Resolves 2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST

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