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Will an Israeli tech unicorn IPO above $5B valuation in 2026?

Israel's tech sector continues its hot streak with multiple unicorns eyeing public markets. Several companies including Wiz and Papaya Global are potential candidates.

Will an Israeli tech unicorn IPO above $5B valuation in 2026?

YES 61% NO 39%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
an Israeli tech unicorn IPO above $5B valuation in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
an Israeli tech unicorn IPO above $5B valuation in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 17 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 61% YES
Yes 61%
No 39%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 61%
No 39%