Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Settlement expansion continues amid international criticism. Israeli government approving new construction. Demographic shifts with major political implications.
Will settler population in West Bank increase by 5% in 2026?
YES 57%
NO 42%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: January 31, 2027
Resolves YES if:
settler population in West Bank increase by 5% in 2026 on or before January 31, 2027.
Resolves NO if:
settler population in West Bank increase by 5% in 2026 does not occur by January 31, 2027.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
57% YES
Yes 57%
No 42%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
57%
No
42%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$389.0K
Traders
0
Category
Politics
Resolves
2027-01-31 11:59 PM EST
