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Will Meta release Quest 4 VR headset in 2026?

Meta continues VR hardware iteration. Quest 3 successful but competition heating up. Next generation expected with improved specs and mixed reality features.

Will Meta release Quest 4 VR headset in 2026?

YES 69% NO 31%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Meta release Quest 4 VR headset in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Meta release Quest 4 VR headset in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 17 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 69% YES
Yes 69%
No 31%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 69%
No 31%