Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Metaverse hype faded but development continues. Roblox, Fortnite, and VR platforms competing. Mass adoption still elusive. Kids versus adults usage diverging.
Will any metaverse platform reach 100M monthly users in 2026?
YES 68%
NO 31%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
any metaverse platform reach 100M monthly users in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
any metaverse platform reach 100M monthly users in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
68% YES
Yes 68%
No 31%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
68%
No
31%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$456.0K
Traders
0
Category
Technology
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
