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Will Neuralink successfully complete 100+ human implants in 2026?

Neuralink's brain-computer interface advancing. Initial trials promising but scaling up questioned. Elon Musk's ambitious timeline as always.

Will Neuralink successfully complete 100+ human implants in 2026?

YES 42% NO 58%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Neuralink successfully complete 100+ human implants in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Neuralink successfully complete 100+ human implants in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 17 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 42% YES
Yes 42%
No 58%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 42%
No 58%

Market Stats

24h Volume $0.0K
Total Volume $567.0K
Traders 0
Category Technology
Resolves 2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST

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