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Will VP Vance run for President in 2028?

JD Vance's national profile has skyrocketed, but questions about Trump's succession plan create intrigue. Early 2028 positioning begins now with staffing and donor cultivation.

Will VP Vance run for President in 2028?

YES 69% NO 30%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: October 07, 2026
Resolves YES if:
VP Vance run for President in 2028 on or before October 07, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
VP Vance run for President in 2028 does not occur by October 07, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-10 → Now
Start | Feb 12 | Feb 14 | Feb 16 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 69% YES
Yes 69%
No 30%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 69%
No 30%

Market Stats

24h Volume $744.5K
Total Volume $10096.7K
Traders 5944
Category Politics
Resolves 2026-10-07 11:59 PM EST