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Will Rivian achieve quarterly profitability in 2026?

EV startup Rivian burning cash but production scaling. Amazon partnership key. Path to profitability crucial for survival in competitive EV market.

Will Rivian achieve quarterly profitability in 2026?

YES 48% NO 52%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Rivian achieve quarterly profitability in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Rivian achieve quarterly profitability in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 17 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 48% YES
Yes 48%
No 52%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 48%
No 52%

Market Stats

24h Volume $0.0K
Total Volume $445.0K
Traders 0
Category Technology
Resolves 2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST

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