Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Massive infrastructure project connecting European and Asian sides of Istanbul via undersea rail tunnel. Delays and cost overruns but nearing completion.
Will Istanbul's new Bosphorus metro tunnel open in 2026?
YES 64%
NO 36%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Istanbul's new Bosphorus metro tunnel open in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Istanbul's new Bosphorus metro tunnel open in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
64% YES
Yes 64%
No 36%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
64%
No
36%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$234.0K
Traders
0
Category
World
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
