Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Massive rebuilding effort continues after devastating 2023 earthquakes. Government promised rapid reconstruction but progress slower than expected. Hundreds of thousands still displaced.
Will Turkey complete 50% of earthquake reconstruction by end 2026?
YES 47%
NO 53%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Turkey complete 50% of earthquake reconstruction by end 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Turkey complete 50% of earthquake reconstruction by end 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
47% YES
Yes 47%
No 53%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
47%
No
53%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$289.0K
Traders
0
Category
World
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
