Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Turkish president considering changes to extend term limits and expand presidential powers. Opposition mobilizing to prevent further consolidation of authority.
Will Erdogan call a constitutional referendum in 2026?
YES 56%
NO 43%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Erdogan call a constitutional referendum in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Erdogan call a constitutional referendum in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
56% YES
Yes 56%
No 43%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
56%
No
43%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$445.0K
Traders
0
Category
Politics
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
