Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Turkey battling persistent high inflation after years of unorthodox monetary policy. New central bank governor attempting orthodox approach. Economic pain widespread.
Will Turkey's inflation rate drop below 20% by year-end 2026?
YES 42%
NO 58%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: January 31, 2027
Resolves YES if:
Turkey's inflation rate drop below 20% by year-end 2026 on or before January 31, 2027.
Resolves NO if:
Turkey's inflation rate drop below 20% by year-end 2026 does not occur by January 31, 2027.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 16
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
42% YES
Yes 42%
No 58%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
42%
No
58%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$378.0K
Traders
0
Category
Economics
Resolves
2027-01-31 11:59 PM EST
