Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Turkish lira continues long-term depreciation trend. Central bank attempting to stabilize but pressure intense. Inflation and unorthodox policies driving weakness.
Will Turkish Lira weaken past 40 TRY/USD by end 2026?
YES 59%
NO 41%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Turkish Lira weaken past 40 TRY/USD by end 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Turkish Lira weaken past 40 TRY/USD by end 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 16
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
59% YES
Yes 59%
No 41%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
59%
No
41%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$456.0K
Traders
0
Category
Economics
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
