Context & Analysis
Source:
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Turkey holds veto power over NATO expansion. Playing hardball on various geopolitical issues. Sweden and potential other applicants waiting for approval.
Will Turkey approve all pending NATO expansion applications in 2026?
YES 61%
NO 39%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Turkey approve all pending NATO expansion applications in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Turkey approve all pending NATO expansion applications in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
61% YES
Yes 61%
No 39%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
61%
No
39%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$423.0K
Traders
0
Category
Politics
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
