Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
Article content will be fetched shortly. Please refresh the page.
Years-long dispute over Turkish purchase of Russian S-400 continues. US excluded Turkey from F-35 program. Both sides seeking face-saving compromise.
Will Turkey reach agreement with US on S-400 missile system?
YES 38%
NO 62%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
Turkey reach agreement with US on S-400 missile system on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
Turkey reach agreement with US on S-400 missile system does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 17
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
38% YES
Yes 38%
No 62%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
38%
No
62%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$367.0K
Traders
0
Category
World
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
