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Will a Web3 game reach 10M+ monthly active users in 2026?

Web3 gaming promised revolution but most failed. New titles learning from mistakes. Play-to-earn evolving. Could 2026 bring the first true Web3 gaming hit?

Will a Web3 game reach 10M+ monthly active users in 2026?

YES 39% NO 61%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
a Web3 game reach 10M+ monthly active users in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
a Web3 game reach 10M+ monthly active users in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 16 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 39% YES
Yes 39%
No 61%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 39%
No 61%

Market Stats

24h Volume $0.0K
Total Volume $478.0K
Traders 0
Category Technology
Resolves 2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST

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