Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Web3 gaming promised revolution but most failed. New titles learning from mistakes. Play-to-earn evolving. Could 2026 bring the first true Web3 gaming hit?
Will a Web3 game reach 10M+ monthly active users in 2026?
YES 39%
NO 61%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: December 31, 2026
Resolves YES if:
a Web3 game reach 10M+ monthly active users in 2026 on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
a Web3 game reach 10M+ monthly active users in 2026 does not occur by December 31, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-11 → Now
Start
|
Feb 13
|
Feb 15
|
Feb 16
|
Now
CURRENT BELIEF
39% YES
Yes 39%
No 61%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
39%
No
61%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$0.0K
Total Volume
$478.0K
Traders
0
Category
Technology
Resolves
2026-12-31 11:59 PM EST
