Context & Analysis
Source:
Web Article
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Breaking: Regional tensions spike as diplomatic channels show signs of breakdown. Military analysts monitoring situation closely.
Will the US launch a military attack on Iran on February 19th?
YES 9%
NO 91%
Market Rules
Resolution Date: February 19, 2026
Resolves YES if:
the US launch a military attack on Iran on February 19th on or before February 19, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
the US launch a military attack on Iran on February 19th does not occur by February 19, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.
BELIEF CURRENTS
2026-02-16 → Now
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Mon
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Tue
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Wed
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Now
CURRENT BELIEF
9% YES
Yes 9%
No 91%
PROBABILITY OVER TIME
Current Belief
Yes
9%
No
91%
Market Stats
24h Volume
$18.0K
Total Volume
$78.0K
Traders
234
Category
World
Resolves
2026-02-19 11:59 PM EST
