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Will TikTok be banned in the US by end of 2026?

Will TikTok be banned in the US by end of 2026?

YES 41% NO 59%

Market Rules

Resolution Date: March 20, 2026
Resolves YES if:
TikTok be banned in the US by end of 2026 on or before March 20, 2026.
Resolves NO if:
TikTok be banned in the US by end of 2026 does not occur by March 20, 2026.
Measurement Criteria:
Resolution based on official sources, verified data, or authoritative announcements as of the resolution date. Ambiguous cases may resolve as N/A or be extended.

BELIEF CURRENTS

2026-02-11 → Now
Start | Feb 13 | Feb 15 | Feb 17 | Now
CURRENT BELIEF 41% YES
Yes 41%
No 59%

PROBABILITY OVER TIME

Current Belief

Yes 41%
No 59%